Expertise

2014 Business Planning Forecast (Part 1)

U.S. Economy

The unemployment rate in the U.S. reached its peak of 10 percent in October of 2009 and continues to decline. In the summer of 2013, the national unemployment rate is hovering around 7.5 percent. Sequestration must remain on the watch list as having an impact on the economy though $100 billion, (more…)

In the News

Financing Climate Spurs Hotel Growth

from the San Diego Business Journal (July 8, 2013)

…Robert Rauch, president of San Diego-based hospitality consulting firm R.A. Rauch & Associates Inc., said the local region is in the early stages of what could be a three-year run in new hotel development.  That’s largely because interest rates remain historically low, even amid rampant talk that they could (more…)

In the News

Hersha pays $71.1 million for downtown’s Courtyard by Marriott

from the San Diego Daily Transcript (Thursday May 3, 2013)

Robert Rauch, a local hotel developer and consultant, said the hotel will need both business and leisure travelers to succeed, but should get both.

As for rates, Rauch said he doesn’t believe Hersha will average more than $200 per night right out of the box, but that the REIT should go above that figure as the economy improves in the next three years.

Rauch said the hotel’s overall prospects look good. (more…)

In the News

Will SD see more tourists this summer?

from the UT San Diego (May 27, 2012) :

Other hoteliers say they’re noticing just the opposite. But that doesn’t mean summer travel won’t still be robust, said hotel owner and operator Robert Rauch.

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“I think we’ll have a great summer, and I’m not afraid of the fact that the booking pace is behind last year,” said Rauch, who owns two San Diego hotels and manages four more in Pacific Beach, La Jolla, Coronado and Little Italy.

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“So no gas promos, no discounts.

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I don’t see any reason for any special promotions at all.”

Read more…

In the News

Pacifica Hotel Co. Pursues New Coastal Development Deals

from The San Diego Business Journal (May 6, 2013):

Robert Rauch, president of hotel consulting firm R.A. Rauch & Associates in San Diego, noted that the local region has seen just a sprinkle of new hotel construction amid the overall tourism recovery.  …Rauch said there are several projects in the pipeline in places like San Marcos and downtown San Diego, but they are unlikely to move forward anytime soon.  …With an expanded convention center up and running, Rauch said lenders and investors would be more amenable to backing hotel development projects in downtown neighborhoods like East Village and the Embarcadero.

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In the News

Park Hyatt Aviara not the only one in trouble

from the San Diego Daily Transcript (April 25, 2013):

“Every hotel with a loan due that wasn’t properly modified during the downturn is subject to this situation,” said hotel consultant and developer Robert Rauch….Rauch said the $186 million note was based on an assumed value of about $250 million, which he said may be nearly twice the Park Hyatt’s current value.“This property was originally financed during the go-go years (of the mid-2000s),” Rauch said. “The debt is so much higher than the value that the owners only have three choices. Either they walk, modify the loan again somehow, or sell the hotel.”

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Expertise

Hotel Thought Leaders Tackle Digital Tsunami with Simplicity

“This is no longer the digital age. We’re in the middle of a digital tsunami,” said Bob Rauch,  president of R.A. Rauch and Associates and host of last week’s 2nd Annual Digital Marketing Conference.

“There should be no doubt that digital marketing , such as a mobile-optimized site, your vanity site, social media and distribution channel management are paramount to your hotel’s success,” he said.

Held at the Hilton Garden Inn San Diego/Del Mar, the conference drew 50 hoteliers, hospitality management professionals and lenders to hear Rauch’s state of the lodging industry and strategies for success in 2013.

State of the Industry
Rauch opened the conference with a presentation on the rebounding lodging industry.

Calling 2013 a recovery year, Rauch told the audience that by and large, travel demand is up. This past year, the hospitality industry has seen growth in both occupancy and average rate.

For instance, in the highly competitive San Diego region, where Rauch owns two hotel properties and manages four others, occupancy is forecast to hit 71 percent in 2013. According to Rauch, there is likelihood occupancy rates in 2014 will match that of 2007.

Occupancy peaked at 73.2 percent in 2007, plummeted to 63.2 percent by 2009 and has been rising since—to 65.8 percent in 2010, to 68.4 percent in 2011 and 70 percent in 2012, Rauch said.

While average room rates remain below what they’ve been in the past, Rauch is optimistic that in two years rates will reach what they were in 2008 on an inflation adjusted basis.

He warns hoteliers not to continue dropping rates as they have been in the Great Recession.

“Dropping rates will not increase profits,” Rauch said. “Instead focus on building customer equity with WOW service.”

Start With Stellar Service

Travelers can expect to receive four types of service when staying at hotels, Rauch told the audience. This includes, basic, expected, desired and ‘wow’ service.

“Providing ‘wow’ service is the key to building customer equity,” he said. “That’s truly the art of hospitality.”

This starts with really getting to know your hotel guests with data mining.  Rauch used an example of a guest who might be allergic to peanuts. First scenario is the guest will have to remind hotel staff of his allergy each time he sits down in the restaurant, or orders from the property’s café.  Or, the guest can stay at a hotel where its staff will recognize him and say, “Mr. X, we have a new item on our menu that does not have any nuts in its preparation.”

“Where do you think that customer will want to spend his money?” asked Rauch.

Rauch stressed that hotels should have important notes about each guest, at the minimum their birthday, room preferences, dining preferences/allergies and complete contact information, even Twitter handles.

The difference between a one-time guest and a regular when it comes to overall profit cannot be overstated.

“Bonafide, first-class hospitality can build a customer for life,” Rauch said.

“It’s a simple formula.”

Digital Marketing Efforts Will Define Your Success

Rauch’s guest speaker also stressed the power of simplicity in hotel digital marketing.

Travelers don’t want to be overwhelmed when researching travel options, said Adam Brownstein, founder of Buuteeq,  a digital marketing system that enables hotels to create and manage high-performing websites, mobile phone content, a Facebook presence, and direct-to-hotel online reservations.

“Focus, effort, time, and memory. That’s what a guest has to spend to find you,” said Brownstein.

You must present your hotel’s experience for your online customers, he noted. A cluttered Web site won’t do any favors for a hotel, and could easily deter business.

“If it takes too much focus, effort, time or memory to research or reserve a room – they’ll leave you.”

Brownstein told the group to make mobile a priority. According to Brownstein, 30 percent of Web site traffic and 65 percent of same-day hotel reservations come via mobile phones.

He also noted 54 percent of mobile users will not recommend a hotel that doesn’t have a mobile version of its Web site.

Guests want to see the value in your product, so make sure your mobile site is a good one. He also added that hotels must authenticate their product with good copywriting and quality photos.

“Guests will always linger on photos, so invest in good imagery,” Brownstein said.

Quality images are especially important for each of your room types, as that is the second most visited page on a hotel’s Web site, according to Brownstein.

Google is making a foray into the hospitality industry and hotels should “absolutely” be on Google + or have their listing updated on Google Places.

Before ending the conference, Brownstein closed with this guiding principle.

“Whether on a desktop, phone, or tablet, always present your hotel elegantly,” Brownstein said.

“A good user experience – with a simple interface, fast loading times, and elegant look – means a happy guest.”

In the News

Websites, apps dictate hotel health

from HotelNewsNow.com (April 22, 2013):

SAN DIEGO—Hoteliers need to capitalize on smartphones and other evolving digital platforms to get the most from the United States’ economic turnaround, speakers said last week during the second annual Hotel Forecast and Digital Marketing Conference in San Diego.  “Everybody is using these to book hotels at the last minute or to do research,” Robert A. Rauch of R.A. Rauch & Associates, said while holding up his cell phone.

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In the News

Lodging occupancies rebound with smartphone bookings

from San Diego Daily Transcript (April 17, 2013):

The state of the hotel market and the technology that serves it were discussed at R.A. Rauch & Associates’ second annual Hotel Forecast and Digital Marketing Conference on Wednesday at the Hilton Garden Inn.  “In terms of occupancy, we’re back where we were in 2008,” said Robert Rauch, president of Rauch. With few hotels under construction — Rauch says only about 600 rooms are expected to be added this year — the countywide occupancy, now hovering around 70 percent, is expected to grow.  Rauch, who developed the Hilton Garden Inn and the adjacent Homewood Suites, among other hotels, said after the recession years of 2009 and 2010, recovery marked 2011 and 2012 — a trend he expects to strengthen the rest of this year and beyond…

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In the News

Bed and Brick-Fest

from San Diego Business Journal (April 1, 2013):

…Local hotel industry consultant Robert Rauch noted that the Legoland hotel could have a mix of impacts on the region’s hospitality industry, depending on how it’s received in the long run. It might draw vacationers away from competing resorts, but a more likely outcome is that Legoland will create more of its own hotel demand than it takes away from other properties.

An important variable is the international makeup of Legoland visitors, drawn in part by extensive local and global advertising by Merlin Entertainments.

“International travelers stay longer and spend more,” said Rauch, president of San Diego-based R.A. Rauch & Associates Inc. “It’s probably going to benefit the entire region.”

Read More…

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