As forecasted, 2016 is already showing signs of being a banner year for the hospitality industry.
Revenue-per-available-room growth will be up about 6% in 2016, according to industry forecasts, with the biggest gains coming from average daily rate. While we should be celebrating this expectation, we need to be realistic that the good times cannot last forever.
We must recognize that after a stellar record of 70 consecutive months of RevPAR growth by the end of 2015 will be tempered from the recent highs, likely in the range of 1% to 2%. As such, we need to take full advantage of the benefits of this coming year to prepare for slower growth in the years ahead.
The good, the bad and the trending
While a number of factors contribute to the expectation that economic growth will pull back, we are headed for an inflection point affecting the supply-demand balance. Development has been robust over the past few years and new supply will continue to come online throughout 2016 and 2017.